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Over the weekend, Kyler Murray cashed in on his draft status in the form of a 4-year $35million contract with the Arizona Cardinals.  The choice of football is financially beneficial to Murray in comparison to the $5million guaranteed deal he signed with the Oakland A’s.  Murray gets a chance to start for the Cardinals on day one, as opposed to riding the bus for 2-3 years in Oakland’s farm system, but he won’t last long in the NFL.  In 5 years Kyler Murray will be playing baseball.

Saying Kyler Murray will be a bust in the NFL, is really not a stretch.  There have been many epic failures from QBs taken in the first round of the draft.  I’ve highlighted some of my favorites below, but the point is that the odds Murray makes it to his second contract are just not favorable. 

Name Pick # Year Team
Johnny Manziel

22

2014

Cleveland
Blake Bortles

3

2014

Jacksonville
EJ Manuel

16

2013

Buffalo
Brandon Weeden

22

2012

Cleveland
Robert Griffin III

2

2012

Washington
Ryan Tannehill

8

2012

Miami
Christian Ponder

12

2011

Minnesota
Jake Locker

8

2011

Tennessee
Blaine Gabbert

12

2011

Minnesota
Sam Bradford

1

2010

St. Louis
Tim Tebow

25

2010

Denver
Mark Sanchez

5

2009

NY Jets
JaMarcus Russell

1

2007

Oakland
Matt Leinhart

10

2006

Arizona
Vince Young

3

2006

Tennessee
Joey Harrington

3

2002

Detroit
David Carr

1

2002

Houston
Tim Couch

1

1999

Cleveland
Ryan Leaf

2

1998

San Diego

 

While the installation of Kliff Kingsbury’s new system should be conducive to Kyler Murray’s talents, the chances a quarterback the size of Murray surviving the consistent onslaught of NFL defenders is not realistic. Murray compares similarly to former first round picks RG3, EJ Manuel, and Johny “Football” Manziel; who are more likely to be selling cars than taking snaps next season.  Mobile quarterbacks just don’t last in the NFL.  At any given moment they’re one hit away from forgetting where their car is parked, and Murray is about the size of an NFL lineman’s toothpick.

The football money looks good now, but baseball contracts become much more lucrative in later stages of careers.  As the 6thoverall pick, Murray has a real chance to succeed in MLB; and he probably won’t be getting a second chance in the NFL. When you think about it, playing baseball is a much better fallback plan compared to selling cars. 

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